Strategy research workspace

An AI trading bot workspace built for clearer decisions.

Write the idea down, turn it into a hypothesis you can test, and run it against labelled sample scenarios. Every result shows its inputs, assumptions and the reasoning behind the summary.

  • Paper simulation only
  • Synthetic sample data, clearly labelled
  • Email sign-in, no password

Research note · draft

Sample data · Simulation
HypothesisA Moving-average crossover keeps losses smaller than buy-and-hold in a “Volatility shock” market, after costs.
Bar 1Bar 252
  • Strategy (after costs)
  • Buy-and-hold
Net return
18.44%
Max drawdown
11.9%
Trades
2

In the Volatility shock sample, the strategy finished at 18.44% after costs, versus 6.79% for simply holding (difference 11.65 percentage points).

Only 2 trades: too few to tell skill from chance. Treat any conclusion as a hypothesis to test on more scenarios.

Costs took 2.2% of gross gains at the assumed fee and slippage.

Rule-based explanation — not generated by an AI model

Change the scenario: the same rule can look smart or naive depending on the regime.

Raise the costs: watch how quickly a small edge disappears.

The research loop

Idea → hypothesis → test → conclusion

Most trading ideas are never tested because they are never written precisely enough to test. The notebook walks you through four short steps.

  1. Write the idea in plain words

    Capture what you noticed and why you think it matters — before any numbers.

    “After a sharp drop, prices often keep falling for a while.”

  2. Turn it into a testable hypothesis

    Name the condition, the expected outcome, the horizon and what would prove you wrong.

    IF the fast average crosses below the slow one THEN staying flat beats holding over 252 bars FAILS IF net result is worse than buy-and-hold in 3 of 4 scenarios

  3. Test it on sample scenarios

    Run the same rule across four synthetic market regimes with explicit fee, slippage and position-size assumptions.

    Scenario: Volatility shock · Template: MA crossover 10/40 · Costs: 10 bps per round trip

  4. Write down what you concluded

    Read the rule-based summary, then record your own conclusion and the next question. The run is stored with its inputs.

    “Helps in the shock scenario, costs it in the steady trend. Next: test a slower exit.”

Sample strategy, in detail

One rule, worked through on sample data

A moving-average crossover (10/40 bars) on the “Volatility shock” scenario, with 5 bps fee and 5 bps slippage per fill. Here is how to read each number.

MA crossover 10/40 · Volatility shock

Sample data · Paper trading
  • Strategy (after costs)
  • Buy-and-hold
MetricValueHow to read it
Net return18.44%Result after fees and slippage on a 10,000 sample account.
Buy-and-hold6.79%What simply holding through the same bars would have returned.
Max drawdown11.9%Largest fall from a peak — the stretch you would have had to sit through.
Trades2Number of completed round trips. Fewer than 10 is too few to judge.
Time in market53.2%Share of bars with an open position; the rest of the time it was flat.
Costs / gross gains2.2%How much of the gross gains the cost assumptions consumed.

Why this example

Trend-following rules are often described as “protection” in sell-offs. The shock scenario lets you check that claim on data where the shock is known in advance.

What it shows

The rule steps aside after the gap but also gives back gains in the calm stretch before it. Whether that trade-off is acceptable is your decision, not the tool's.

What it cannot show

One synthetic path is one possibility. A real market adds gaps between bars, partial fills and costs that change with conditions.

In the Volatility shock sample, the strategy finished at 18.44% after costs, versus 6.79% for simply holding (difference 11.65 percentage points).

Only 2 trades: too few to tell skill from chance. Treat any conclusion as a hypothesis to test on more scenarios.

Costs took 2.2% of gross gains at the assumed fee and slippage.

The largest peak-to-trough fall was 11.9%.

Synthetic data with a simple execution model (next-bar open, fixed costs). A real market adds gaps, partial fills and changing costs.

Rule-based explanation — not generated by an AI model

What is in the workspace

Four parts, one research record

Strategy Notebook

Notes with a structured hypothesis, the scenario and template you tested, and every run you saved. Strategy Notebook

Saved to your account · export JSON / CSV / Markdown

Market Context

Four documented sample regimes — trend, range, volatility shock, drawdown and recovery — to test the same idea against. Market Context

Synthetic, fixed-seed data · not market prices

Paper Trading Workspace

Deterministic paper simulation with explicit fees, slippage and position size. Same inputs, same result. Paper Trading Workspace

No brokerage · no orders · no funds

Research Summaries

Plain-language statements derived from the numbers by published rules. Optional AI explanation when the operator enables it, always labelled. Research Summaries

Rules documented on the Methodology page

See the platform in detail

Market context

Same strategy, four market regimes

Pick a scenario. The rule and the costs stay the same; only the market changes. This is the single most useful habit in strategy research.

MA crossover 10/40 · Steady trend

Sample data
Net return
0.39%
Buy-and-hold
22.59%
Max drawdown
13.43%
Time in market
57.5%
Trades
5

In the Steady trend sample, the strategy finished at 0.39% after costs, versus 22.59% for simply holding (difference -22.2 percentage points).

Only 5 trades: too few to tell skill from chance. Treat any conclusion as a hypothesis to test on more scenarios.

Costs took 71.5% of gross gains (97.75 in the sample account). Small edges are fragile once fees and slippage are included.

The largest peak-to-trough fall was 13.43%.

Synthetic data with a simple execution model (next-bar open, fixed costs). A real market adds gaps, partial fills and changing costs.

Sample data generated with fixed seeds. Costs: 5 bps fee + 5 bps slippage per fill. Not a backtest on market prices.

Limits and control

What the tool does — and what stays with you

A research tool is only useful if its limits are as clear as its features.

Verdaxis does

  • Structure ideas into testable hypotheses
  • Simulate paper trades on labelled sample scenarios
  • Show every input, assumption and formula
  • Keep a dated record you can export or delete

Verdaxis does not

  • Connect to a broker or exchange
  • Hold money or place orders
  • Use live or historical market prices
  • Tell you what to buy or sell

You decide

  • Which questions are worth testing
  • What would count as failure
  • Whether a result is good enough to keep studying
  • What, if anything, you do with it outside the tool

Read the methodology

FAQ

Short answers

The questions people ask before they open the workspace.

All questions
What does Verdaxis do?

It is a research workspace: you turn a trading idea into a testable hypothesis, run paper simulations of simple strategy templates on labelled sample scenarios, and keep the results and your conclusions in a notebook.

Who is it for?

Self-directed people who have trading ideas and want a repeatable way to test and document them before spending more time or money on them.

Do I need trading or programming experience?

No programming. Some familiarity with basic market terms helps; every parameter has a short explanation, and the Methodology page explains every formula.

What do I get after confirming my email?

The Strategy Notebook: unlimited notes (up to 200), paper runs on the four sample scenarios, run history, export to JSON/CSV/Markdown and deletion of your data.

See what is included

Is real money involved?

No. Verdaxis never connects to a brokerage or exchange, never holds funds and never places orders. Every result is a paper simulation.

What does “sample data” and “simulation” mean here?

The prices are synthetic, generated from a documented model with fixed seeds — they are not live or historical market prices. Simulation means the trades are calculated, not executed.

How sample data is generated

What can the AI part do, and what are its limits?

Summaries are rule-based by default and follow published thresholds. If the operator enables an AI provider, a model can add a prose explanation, labelled with its name. Neither predicts markets; both describe a simulation and can be incomplete or wrong.

Summary rules

What data do you store?

Your email address, your notes and runs, a session while you are signed in, and records of consents you gave. No passwords, payment details or IP addresses in our database.

Privacy Policy: data we collect

How do I delete my data?

In the workspace, open Settings: delete your notes or the whole account. Deletion is immediate. You can also email the privacy address.

Privacy Policy: your rights

How do I unsubscribe from the newsletter?

Use the unsubscribe link at the bottom of any newsletter email, or switch it off in Settings. Your workspace access is not affected.

Get access

Open the research workspace

Confirm your email and the Strategy Notebook opens. No password, no payment details.

  • Unlimited notes and paper runs on the four sample scenarios
  • Run history, export and deletion of your own data
  • Optional newsletter — separate, never required