From Trading Idea to Testable Hypothesis
Most trading ideas cannot be wrong, which is exactly why they cannot be tested. Here is a step-by-step way to rewrite one so a test can actually reject it.
Research notes
Research notes
Practical articles on turning trading ideas into structured, testable research — and on reading results without fooling yourself.
Why Market Context Changes the Meaning of a Signal
A 3% drop is an extreme event in a calm market and an ordinary day in a turbulent one. Here is how volatility and regime change what a signal is telling you.
Building a Research Journal for Strategy Experiments
A research journal is not a diary of trades. It is a dated record of what you planned, what you changed and what you concluded, so your own past tests stay usable.
What an AI Trading Bot Can Explain—and What It Cannot
Not every sentence in a model's summary carries the same weight. Learn to sort explanations, estimates and unsupported claims, and what to ask of each.